Guido Ivan Justo vs Matias Soto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/04/2026 at 18:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
76%59%
1st serve points won
49% (19/39)66% (19/29)
2nd serve points won
25% (3/12)45% (9/20)
Break Points Saved
1/72/4
1st return points won
48% (14/29)51% (20/39)
2nd return points won
55% (11/20)75% (9/12)
Break Points Converted
2/46/7
Winners
1214
Unforced errors
2726
Net points won
100% (1/1)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
42% (22/52)58% (28/48)
Return Points Won
42% (20/48)58% (30/52)
Total Points Won
42% (42/100)58% (58/100)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
33% (3/9)75% (6/8)
Return games won
25% (2/8)67% (6/9)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Guido Ivan Justo
53.4%
Matias Soto
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guido Ivan Justo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matias Soto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.65)

    2.01
    (2.09)
    7.1%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Soto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Justo is ranked ATP: 261. Soto is ranked ATP: 304.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Justo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Justo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto were as follows:
    28.03.2026 Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto 0:2
    08.12.2024 Matias Soto - Guido Ivan Justo 1:2
    18.08.2024 Matias Soto - Guido Ivan Justo 2:0
    Latest results of Guido Ivan Justo
    Latest results of Matias Soto