Result
21/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
39% | Draw
26.3% | NEC Nijmegen
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.59) |
3.7 ↑
(3.48) |
2.74 ↑
(2.63) |
4.5%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
- Heerenveen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nijmegen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against NEC Nijmegen?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heerenveen?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
27.04.2025
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
19.10.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
3:0
10.03.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:0
07.10.2023
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
06.05.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:3
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | PSV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Nijmegen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Groningen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Sittard | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Twente | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Telstar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:16 | -14 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
