Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.27 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (545/618) | 76% (254/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.27 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (545/618) | 76% (254/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (234/270) | 63% (61/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 71% (5/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Nordas L. ⚽, Meerveld R. (A),
- 29', Man D. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Obispo A. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Boadu M. ⚽, Wanner P. (A),
- 63', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
- 63', Oyen L. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 67', Meerveld R. 🟨,
- 70', Meerveld R. ↓, Courtens N. ↑,
- 75', Veerman J. ↓, Salah-Eddine A. ↑,
- 75', Boadu M. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
- 80', Salah-Eddine A. 🟨,
- 86', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
- 86', Petrov H. ↓, Zagaritis V. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Pepi R. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
- 90+2', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
Chances of winning
PSV Eindhoven
71.2% | Draw
16.4% | Heerenveen
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↑
(1.32) |
5.73 ↑
(5.3) |
7.63 ↓
(8.13) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 43.1% – 81.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75, 1st Half - Heerenveen (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC, 1st Half - Heerenveen (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSV Eindhoven will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 2 - 50%). Heerenveen (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PSV is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in PSV: Kovar M.
(Injury)
Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
Pepi R.
(Forearm injury)
Plea A.
(Knee Injury)
Saibari I.
(Rest)
van Bommel R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Braude O.
(Injury)
Brouwers L.
(Inactive)
Vente D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 2.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against Heerenveen?
PSV Eindhoven has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against PSV Eindhoven?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen were as follows:
04.02.2026
PSV Eindhoven
-
Heerenveen
4:1
06.12.2025
Heerenveen
-
PSV Eindhoven
0:2
08.03.2025
PSV Eindhoven
-
Heerenveen
2:1
14.12.2024
Heerenveen
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:0
25.04.2024
Heerenveen
-
PSV Eindhoven
0:8
Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
Latest results of Heerenveen
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | |
Semi-finalsFinal
