Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (221/301) | 85% (413/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (221/301) | 85% (413/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 66% (35/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (90/141) | 73% (128/176) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Montes C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 0, Cacintura E. ⚽,
- 50', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
- 56', Karpukas A. ↓, Prutsev D. ↑,
- 56', Nenakhov M. ↓, Lucas Fasson ↑,
- 63', Rudenko A. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
- 63', Mansilla B. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
- 73', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 73', Ibishev T. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
- 75', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 1, Batrakov A. ⚽, Silyanov A. (A),
- 90+4', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
35.4% | Draw
28% | Lokomotiv Moscow
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.66) |
3.4 ↓
(3.5) |
2.61 ↑
(2.42) |
4.8%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0.
- Akhmat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lokomotiv is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Akhmat: Keliano M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Komlichenko N.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiv: Pinyaev S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Akhmat Grozny has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Akhmat Grozny?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
15.04.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
07.03.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:1
04.08.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
0:5
07.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
0:2
11.11.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Baltika | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:24 | -19 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
