Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

RZD Arena (Moscow).

Premier League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.99	0.37
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
7	4
Passes
78% (299/385)	65% (174/266)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.99	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.14	0.26
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
8	3
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
29	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
11	24
Passes
78% (299/385)	65% (174/266)
Long passes
53% (25/47)	35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
61% (72/118)	53% (48/90)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.16
Throw ins
24	20
Fouls
24	11
Tackles
81% (17/21)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
61	63
Clearances
24	28
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.26	1.14
Goals prevented
-1.74	-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Samorodov M. ⚽,
30', Montes C. ↓, Nyamsi G. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 2, Lucas Fasson ⚽, Morozov E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Karpukas A. 🟨,
48', 2 - 2, Prutsev D. ⚽,
60', Pryakhin S. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
61', Karpukas A. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
67', Batrakov A. 🟨,
87', Samorodov M. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
90+1', Nenakhov M. ↓, Silyanov A. ↑,
90+1', Sidorov M. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
90+1', Sadulaev L. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
90+5', Ndong O. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lokomotiv Moscow
55.2%

Draw
23.9%

Akhmat Grozny
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24.8%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)	4.01 ↑ (3.72)	4.58 ↑ (3.8)	4.5% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Akhmat (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiv Moscow will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 4 - 80%). Akhmat (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
Lokomotiv is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Akhmat is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Akhmat has had a series of home games.
In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:16. (average 1.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Akhmat Grozny?

Lokomotiv Moscow has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Lokomotiv Moscow?

Akhmat Grozny has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:

13.09.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1

15.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 2:1

07.03.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 1:1

04.08.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5

07.04.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow 0:2

Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow

05.03.2026 Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Pari NN 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Pyunik 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Dinamo Samarqand 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Akhmat Grozny

01.03.2026 Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny 2:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Akhmat Grozny - AGMK 3:2 ✺

29.01.2026 Akhmat Grozny - Vardar 1:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Akhmat Grozny - OFK Beograd 3:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	22	15	4	3	47:16	31	49
2	Zenit	22	14	6	2	41:15	26	48
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	22	12	8	2	48:30	18	44
4	Baltika	22	11	9	2	30:9	21	42
5	CSKA Moscow	22	12	3	7	34:24	10	39
6	Spartak Moscow	22	11	5	6	35:30	5	38
7	Rubin Kazan	22	8	6	8	22:25	-3	30
8	Akhmat Grozny	22	8	6	8	27:28	-1	30
9	Dynamo Moscow	22	8	6	8	37:30	7	30
10	Akron Togliatti	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22
11	FK Rostov	22	5	7	10	17:25	-8	22
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	22	5	6	11	12:27	-15	21
13	Krylya Sovetov	22	5	6	11	22:40	-18	21
14	Pari NN	22	6	2	14	18:36	-18	20
15	Orenburg	22	4	6	12	21:33	-12	18
16	Sochi	22	2	3	17	20:52	-32	9

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL