Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Kaliningrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj).

Premier League - Round 26
Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.45	1.60
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
7	15
Shots on target
1	6
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
73% (299/408)	62% (197/316)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.45	1.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	0.88
Total shots
7	15
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
1	6
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
4	11
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
27	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
22	12
Passes
73% (299/408)	62% (197/316)
Long passes
38% (26/68)	41% (31/75)
Passes in final third
60% (71/119)	55% (70/127)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.36	1.46
Throw ins
23	19
Fouls
12	22
Tackles
79% (11/14)	75% (15/20)
Duels won
61	64
Clearances
26	26
Interceptions
8	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.88	0.12
Goals prevented
-0.12	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Petrov I. 🟨,
40', Gassama N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Petrov I. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Derik Lacerda ⚽,
57', Khlusevich D. ↓, Pryakhin S. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Andrade K. (Own goal),
63', Ndong O. 🟨,
65', Belikov I. 🟨,
71', Mendel A. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
81', Derik Lacerda ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
82', Petrov M. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
85', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
85', Silva I. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
87', Titkov N. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
90+2', Bogosavac M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Akhmat Grozny
32.6%

Draw
29.9%

Baltika Kaliningrad
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akhmat Grozny's form might have worsened.

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akhmat Grozny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.4)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.58 ↓ (2.88)	3.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0.
Recent performances by Akhmat have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Baltika is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.7:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.5:4.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Baltika Kaliningrad?

Akhmat Grozny has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Akhmat Grozny?

Baltika Kaliningrad has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:

18.02.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny 2:2

02.11.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny 2:0

13.04.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:7

31.10.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny 4:1

23.09.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny 1:0

Latest results of Akhmat Grozny

19.04.2026 Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 3:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny 2:2 ✺

04.04.2026 Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar 0:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Akhmat Grozny - Rostov 1:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad

19.04.2026 Krasnodar - Baltika Kaliningrad 2:2 ✺

11.04.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - Pari NN 2:2 ✺

05.04.2026 Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad 2:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi 4:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	27	18	6	3	55:21	34	60
2	Zenit	27	17	8	2	47:17	30	59
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	27	13	10	4	51:35	16	49
4	Spartak Moscow	27	14	6	7	44:36	8	48
5	Baltika	27	11	13	3	37:17	20	46
6	CSKA Moscow	27	13	6	8	38:28	10	45
7	Rubin Kazan	27	10	9	8	25:26	-1	39
8	Dynamo Moscow	27	10	8	9	46:37	9	38
9	Akhmat Grozny	27	8	8	11	31:37	-6	32
10	Akron Togliatti	27	6	9	12	33:45	-12	27
11	FK Rostov	27	6	9	12	20:29	-9	27
12	Orenburg	27	6	8	13	27:38	-11	26
13	Krylya Sovetov	27	6	8	13	29:47	-18	26
14	Dynamo Makhachkala	27	5	9	13	17:34	-17	24
15	Pari NN	27	6	4	17	23:44	-21	22
16	Sochi	27	5	3	19	24:56	-32	18

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL