Result
3:1
07/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 13
- Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (427/520) | 73% (204/281) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (427/520) | 73% (204/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (96/144) | 56% (25/45) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', Ivanusec L. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Taison ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Jensen F. ⚽,
- 45+6', 2 - 1, Giakoumakis G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 3 - 1, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
- 56', Galanopoulos K. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 59', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Mythou A. ↑,
- 67', Ivanusec L. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
- 68', Ozdoev M. 🟨,
- 79', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 80', Zivkovic A. ↓, Konstantelias G. ↑,
- 83', Fadiga N. ↓, Panagidis M. ↑,
- 90', Perez C. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
- 90', Jensen F. ↓, Misehouy G. ↑,
Chances of winning
PAOK
63.2% | Draw
23.9% | Aris
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
PAOK - Aris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.57) |
3.95 ↑
(3.78) |
7.18 ↑
(6.13) |
6.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for PAOK - Aris?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Aris will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PAOK will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PAOK is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in PAOK: Konstantelias G.
(Injury)
Meite S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Aris: Donis A.
(Inactive)
Kadewere T.
(Knee Injury)
Mendyl H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Aris?
PAOK has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against PAOK?
Aris has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - Aris were as follows:
03.12.2025
Aris
-
PAOK
1:1
19.01.2025
Aris
-
PAOK
0:0
29.09.2024
PAOK
-
Aris
0:1
19.05.2024
Aris
-
PAOK
1:2
10.03.2024
PAOK
-
Aris
0:1
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 30:7 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | PAOK | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29:10 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Volos | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Aris | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Asteras Tripolis | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | OFI Crete | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11:25 | -14 | 9 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:31 | -24 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
