Result
2:3 ET
25/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Greek Cup - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (471/587) | 70% (254/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (471/587) | 70% (254/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (39/78) | 36% (35/96) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (169/224) | 56% (41/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (10/45) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 42 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Michailidis G. ⚽, Kedziora T. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Fountas T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 2, Nuss T. ⚽, Salcedo E. (A),
- 52', Nuss T. 🟨,
- 60', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
- 61', Taison ↓, Zafeiris C. ↑,
- 61', Mythou A. ↓, Chatsidis D. ↑,
- 61', Meite S. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
- 77', Nuss T. ↓, Apostolakis I. ↑,
- 78', Fountas T. ↓, Theodosoulakis I. ↑,
- 78', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 78', Zivkovic A. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
- 86', Salcedo E. 🟨,
- 89', Kostoulas K. 🟨,
- 89', Christogeorgos N. ↓, Lilo K. ↑,
- 89', Kostoulas K. ↓, Kanellopoulos G. ↑,
- 90', Chatsidis D. 🟨,
- 90', Salcedo E. ↓, Leya Iseka A. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Jeremejeff A. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 93', Kanellopoulos G. 🟨,
- 98', Camara M. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
- 105', Shengelia L. ↓, Lampropoulos V. ↑,
- 107', 2 - 3, Leya Iseka A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 110', Leya Iseka A. 🟨,
- 116', Bianco A. 🟨,
- 120+8', Lilo K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
PAOK 70.4% | Draw 19.5% | OFI 10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)OFI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFI than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
PAOK - OFI Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 (1.33) |
4.81 ↑ (4.66) |
9.18 ↓ (9.41) |
6.9% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for PAOK - OFI?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). OFI will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 4% – 71%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. OFI (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Panthessaliko Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, PAOK is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:11. (average 2.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 29:4. (average 2.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against OFI?
PAOK has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OFI won against PAOK?
OFI has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - OFI were as follows:
18.01.2026
PAOK
-
OFI
3:0
14.09.2025
OFI
-
PAOK
1:2
08.02.2025
OFI
-
PAOK
0:5
27.10.2024
PAOK
-
OFI
1:2
03.01.2024
PAOK
-
OFI
4:0
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | Bye | |
| 2 | PAOK | Atromitos | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
| 4 | Aris | Panetolikos | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | Bye | |
| 6 | Volos | Kifisia | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | AEK Athens | Bye | |
| 8 | OFI Crete | Asteras Tripolis | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | PAOK | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | Aris | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Levadiakos | Kifisia | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | OFI Crete | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | PAOK | Panathinaikos | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Levadiakos | OFI Crete | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final