Nacional Montevideo vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 ET
30/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
55
Total shots
134
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Lopez N. 🟨,
  • 29', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 43', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Carneiro G. 🟨,
  • 58', Remedi E. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 60', Umpierrez L. 🟨,
  • 68', Boggio L. 🟨,
  • 72', Boggio L. , De Los Santos J. ,
  • 72', Romero D. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 73', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 88', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Arezo M. , Baez J. ,
  • 92', Sosa I. 🟨,
  • 100', Herrera N. 🟨,
  • 102', Carneiro G. , Ebere C. ,
  • 102', Rodriguez L. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 102', Ancheta E. , Patino J. ,
  • 106', Silvera M. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 114', 1 - 0, Ebere C. ,
  • 116', Herrera N. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 116', Sosa I. , Villalba H. ,
  • 118', Millan J. , de los Santos M. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
39.9%
Draw
32.1%
Peñarol de Montevideo
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 30.2% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 31.3% 28.7%

Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.37
(2.31)
2.89
(3.06)
3.39
(3.12)
6.4%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
    • In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Peñarol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
    • Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    09.08.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 3:0
    06.07.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:0
    09.02.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    26.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
    2ByeNacional

    Final
    1PenarolNacional0 : 1, 2 : 2