Result
3:0
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', Otero R. 🟨,
- 19', Millan J. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Silvera M. ⚽,
- 42', Gularte E. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Gularte E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Otero R. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 60', Patino J. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 60', Oliva C. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 60', Mereles E. ↓, Lodeiro N. ↑,
- 62', Olivera M. 🟨,
- 68', Cabrera J. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 68', Silvera M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 76', Lopez N. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 77', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 77', Gularte E. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 0, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 88', Coates S. 🟨,
- 89', Carneiro G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Fernandez L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Fernandez L. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
38.4% | Draw
30.4% | Nacional Montevideo
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.52) |
3.05 ↑
(2.87) |
2.98 ↓
(3.04) |
7.3%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
06.07.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:0
09.02.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
26.01.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
20.01.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
3:1
06.10.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
