Académica Coimbra vs União de Santarém – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
86
Yellow cards
20
Total shots
68
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
16
Corner kicks
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Marcos Paulo , Kaka (A),
  • 27', Silva L. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Souza B. , Teixeira R. (A),
  • 34', Rodrigues M. , Rodeia M. ,
  • 36', Sinisterra J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 3 - 0, Cuba ,
  • 60', Monteiro D. , Koume S. ,
  • 62', Sinisterra J. , Jesus P. ,
  • 68', Goncalves E. F. , Ayiah E. ,
  • 68', Cuba , Cascavel ,
  • 70', Candeias D. , Triana C. ,
  • 78', Simoes J. , Bura ,
  • 78', Grilo M. , Teixeira G. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Ayiah E. ,
  • 83', Marcos Paulo , Baixinho M. ,
  • 87', Souza B. , Xavier ,
  • 90', Silva G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Académica Coimbra
56.9%
Draw
25.1%
União de Santarém
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 28.7% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.7)
    3.67
    (3.4)
    5.12
    (4.64)
    8.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Académica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Académica is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Académica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém were as follows:
    29.11.2025 União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra 1:1
    17.08.2025 Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém 1:0
    04.05.2025 Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém 0:4
    15.02.2025 União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra 0:0
    08.12.2024 União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra 0:3
    Latest results of Académica Coimbra
    Latest results of União de Santarém
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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