Trofense vs Académica Coimbra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
28
Corner kicks
44
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
511
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
33
Corner kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Diarra M. , Welisson (A),
  • 15', Kaka 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Cascavel ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kaka , Tiago Andre ,
  • 59', Lobo G. , Diagne O. ,
  • 63', Cuba , Candeias D. ,
  • 63', Souza B. , Triana C. ,
  • 73', Oliveira J. , Hachadi K. ,
  • 76', Cascavel , Jesus P. ,
  • 76', Marcos Paulo , Xavier ,
  • 77', Hachadi K. 🟨,
  • 79', Welisson 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Xavier ,
  • 84', Duarte E. , Roka ,
  • 85', Welisson , Paciencia V. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Trofense
32.5%
Draw
29.8%
Académica Coimbra
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 30.2% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 29.3% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trofense's performance.
  • Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trofense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Académica Coimbra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Trofense - Académica Coimbra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (3.36)
    3.07
    (3.03)
    2.42
    (2.16)
    9.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • Trofense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Académica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Trofense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Trofense
    08.03.2026 Amarante - Trofense 1:0
    27.02.2026 Trofense - Mafra 1:1
    21.02.2026 Varzim - Trofense 2:0
    Latest results of Académica Coimbra
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amarante1274118:10825
    2Academica1273217:10724
    3Os Belenenses1255220:14620
    4Mafra1251613:18-516
    5Vitoria Guimaraes B1244414:13116
    6Varzim1241710:15-513
    7Santarem1223711:17-69
    8Trofense122376:12-69

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )