Real Madrid Castilla vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella
Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, Real Madrid TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
310
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
310
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Jimenez D. ,
  • 32', Andres C. 🟨,
  • 34', Awudu T. , Soto A. ,
  • 38', Ribes K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Garcia G. , Fortuny P. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 1, Callejon J. ,
  • 62', Pena M. , Duarte J. ,
  • 62', Bernardo , Fornes G. ,
  • 62', Edwards R. , Zequi ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ,
  • 74', Zuniga L. , Valdepenas V. ,
  • 74', Yusi , Campos A. ,
  • 74', Andres C. , Antonio David ,
  • 76', Puerto E. 🟨,
  • 79', Antonio David 🟨,
  • 81', Olguin M. , Munoz P. ,
  • 82', Fortuny P. , Palacios C. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Soto A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
54%
Draw
25.7%
Marbella
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.2% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 25.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.64)
    3.6
    (3.64)
    4.54
    (4.94)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marbella (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Recent performances by Real Madrid Castilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marbella is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Marbella
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Marbella - Ibiza 2:1
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    29.03.2025 Sevilla B - Marbella 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Ibiza32105:327
    2Alcorcon32014:316
    3Sanluqueno31205:325
    4CE Europa31205:415
    5Marbella31203:215
    6Eldense31202:115
    7FC Cartagena SAD21103:214
    8Villarreal B31114:404
    9Sevilla FC B31113:304
    10Algeciras31112:204
    11Gimnastic31115:6-14
    12Murcia21012:203
    13Tarazona21011:103
    14Hercules31022:3-13
    15Sabadell20202:202
    16Betis B30212:3-12
    17Teruel30212:3-12
    18Atl. Madrid B20112:3-11
    19Antequera30121:3-21
    20Torremolinos20020:2-20

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