Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Division 1 - Round 24
- Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Gaska D. 🟨,
- 33', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Durmus I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Markov I. ↓, Plesnierowicz W. ↑,
- 53', Koton K. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 2, Vasin N. ⚽, Terpilowski E. (A),
- 59', Gaska D. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
- 59', Hoxhallari E. ↓, Olszewski P. ↑,
- 65', Drzazga K. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
- 68', Kielb J. 🟨,
- 70', Vega D. ↓, Mlynski M. ↑,
- 70', Koton K. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
- 72', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 2, Plesnierowicz W. ⚽, Szeliga B. (A),
- 76', Vasin N. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
- 76', Durmus I. ↓, Spiewak K. ↑,
- 81', Rajsel N. ↓, Firlej M. ↑,
- 85', Plesnierowicz W. 🟨,
- 89', Grudniewski M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Michalski K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Warta Poznań
30.8% | Draw
29.1% | Polonia Warsaw
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.71) |
3.18 ↑
(3.11) |
2.32 ↓
(2.64) |
7.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
Polonia Warsaw will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).
- Warta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Polonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Warta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Warta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has Warta Poznań won against Polonia Warsaw?
Warta Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Warsaw won against Warta Poznań?
Polonia Warsaw has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
23.08.2024
Polonia Warsaw
-
Warta Poznań
2:0
Latest results of Warta Poznań
Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 49 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 40 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Slask Wroclaw | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Polonia Bytom | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 35 |
| 8 | Legnica | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | S. Rzeszow | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 | Ruch Chorzow | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35:33 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Pogon Siedlce | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 26 |
| 15 | Pruszkow | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24:45 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 17 |
| 17 | Leczna | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 16 |
| 18 | Tychy | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
