Result
3:2
01/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 8
- Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (436/524) | 80% (345/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (436/524) | 80% (345/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (137/181) | 61% (67/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Maden M. ⚽, Brajanac M. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Lausen A. ⚽, Bjur P. (A),
- 39', Larsen G. ↓, Sorensen V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 2 - 1, Jensen Tue C. ⚽, Mudi (A),
- 53', Buus J. 🟨,
- 61', Troelsen A. 🟨,
- 64', From L. ↓, Strandby N. ↑,
- 64', Maden M. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
- 69', Buus J. ↓, Tjornelund P. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Ankersen J. ⚽, Strand S. (A),
- 75', Jakobsen N. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
- 75', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
- 78', Strand S. ↓, Stagaard T. ↑,
- 78', Bjur P. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Mudi ⚽, Larsen S. (A),
- 87', Rasmussen M. ↓, Hald S. ↑,
- 87', Alkhoudari B. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Esbjerg
64.3% | Draw
20% | HB Køge
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esbjerg's performance.HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Esbjerg - HB Køge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.59) |
4.76 ↑
(4.29) |
6.19 ↑
(4.82) |
5.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Esbjerg - HB Køge?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Esbjerg will win (votes: 25 - 89.3%). Køge will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esbjerg: 77.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esbjerg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 2.
- Recent performances by Esbjerg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Køge is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Esbjerg is considered a favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against HB Køge?
Esbjerg has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Esbjerg?
HB Køge has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - HB Køge were as follows:
28.02.2025
HB Køge
-
Esbjerg
0:2
24.08.2024
Esbjerg
-
HB Køge
4:1
Latest results of Esbjerg
Latest results of HB Køge
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:18 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Lyngby | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Horsens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | B.93 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | Koge | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15:27 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
