Result
1:1
19/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Referee: Al-Shahdi M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (143/241) | 78% (387/499) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (143/241) | 78% (387/499) |
| Long passes |
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| 25% (15/59) | 40% (31/77) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 52% (49/95) | 59% (84/143) |
| Crosses |
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| 18% (2/11) | 4% (1/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.16 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 71% (10/14) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Deghmoum A. 🟨,
- 39', Hamed M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bambo K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Mahmoud A. ↓, Mohsen S. ↑,
- 62', Sharaf A. ↓, Hamada M. ↑,
- 62', Bambo K. ↓, Makhlouf M. ↑,
- 64', El Wahsh O. ↓, Gaber I. ↑,
- 73', Hawash A. ↓, Ouled Behi A. ↑,
- 73', Mohamed H. ↓, Salim M. ↑,
- 79', Faisal H. 🟨,
- 81', Wahab Nader A. ↓, El Shami M. ↑,
- 81', Temine M. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
- 83', Faisal H. ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
- 84', Gaber I. ↓, Naguib S. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Ouled Behi A. ⚽,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90+2', Adel M. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Gaber M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
El Mokawloon El Arab
27.5% | Draw
33% | Al Masry
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Masry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(3) |
2.81 ↓
(3.01) |
2.34 ↓
(2.43) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Masry?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al Masry will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - El Mokawloon (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - El Mokawloon (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - El Mokawloon (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 0.
- El Mokawloon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al Masry has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al Masry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Al Masry?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Al Masry has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Masry were as follows:
21.07.2024
Al Masry
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:1
26.02.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Al Masry
0:1
09.01.2024
Al Masry
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
1:0
13.04.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Al Masry
0:0
21.12.2022
Al Masry
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
2:2
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Latest results of Al Masry
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
