Derby County vs Bristol City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 3
  • Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.76
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (397/488)80% (364/454)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.65
Total shots
511
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
414
Passes
81% (397/488)80% (364/454)
Long passes
36% (18/50)24% (12/50)
Passes in final third
53% (46/86)64% (54/84)
Crosses
19% (3/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.240.24
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
155
Tackles
57% (8/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5463
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.651.05
Goals prevented
-0.350.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Twine S. , Sykes M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Riis E. , Armstrong S. ,
  • 59', Weimann A. , Brewster R. ,
  • 59', Nyambe R. , Ward J. ,
  • 59', Thompson L. , Clark B. ,
  • 65', Widell Zetterstrom J. 🟨,
  • 70', Batth D. , Jackson K. ,
  • 70', Ozoh D. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 72', Randell A. , Bird M. ,
  • 74', Adams E. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Morris C. ,
  • 90+3', Morris C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Twine S. , Hirakawa Y. ,

Chances of winning


Derby County
23.5%
Draw
31.7%
Bristol City
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 30% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 31.9% 31.6%

Derby County - Bristol City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.65
(2.6)
3.32
(3.16)
2.29
(2.82)
-4.7%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Bristol City?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 21.7%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Bristol City (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
    • In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bristol City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Hernia) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L. (Knee Injury) O'Leary M. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Bristol City were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0
    31.08.2024 Derby County - Bristol City 3:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Bristol City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry24156354:252951
    2Middlesbrough24127533:25843
    3Ipswich24118540:231741
    4Hull24125740:37341
    5Millwall24116727:32-539
    6Watford24108634:29538
    7Preston24910531:25637
    8Bristol City24106833:27636
    9QPR24105934:37-335
    10Stoke241041029:23634
    11Wrexham24810634:31334
    12Leicester2497834:34034
    13Southampton2488838:34432
    14Derby2488833:33032
    15Birmingham2487932:31131
    16West Brom24941128:32-431
    17Sheffield Utd24921333:37-429
    18Swansea24851125:31-629
    19Blackburn23761022:26-427
    20Charlton23761022:29-727
    21Portsmouth23671021:30-925
    22Oxford Utd24571224:33-922
    23Norwich24561326:36-1021
    24Sheffield Wed23181418:45-27-7

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