Charlton Athletic vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Valley (London).

Championship - Round 28
Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.89	1.72
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
4	0
Passes
81% (379/469)	72% (215/300)
Yellow cards
0	4
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.89	1.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	0.60
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
7	10
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
4	0
Touches in opposition box
23	19
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
14	12
Passes
81% (379/469)	72% (215/300)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
59% (75/128)	61% (63/104)
Crosses
39% (7/18)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.98
Throw ins
15	20
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
40% (4/10)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
51	45
Clearances
33	48
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.60	0.64
Goals prevented
-0.40	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Gillesphey M. (Own goal),
31', Clarke M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Leaburn M. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
46', Jones L. ↓, Clarke H. ↑,
47', Agyemang P. 🟨,
59', Ozoh D. ↓, Travis L. ↑,
59', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Clark B. ⚽, Brereton Diaz B. (A),
67', 1 - 2, Campbell T. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
72', Coventry C. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
76', Clark B. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
76', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
85', Clarke M. 🟨,
86', Anderson K. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
87', Burke R. ↓, Godden M. ↑,
89', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
90+3', Travis L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Charlton Athletic
36.3%

Draw
31.3%

Derby County
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Charlton Athletic - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.47)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	2.93 ↓ (3.06)	5.5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Derby will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derby County will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 18 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez O. (Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Derby County?

Charlton Athletic has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Charlton Athletic?

Derby County has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Derby County were as follows:

30.09.2025 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 1:1

27.02.2024 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 1:2

03.02.2024 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 0:1

18.02.2023 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 2:0

Latest results of Charlton Athletic

17.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Chelsea 1:5 ✺

04.01.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Charlton Athletic 2:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Coventry City 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

17.01.2026 Preston North End - Derby County 0:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Derby County - Leeds United 1:3 ✺

04.01.2026 Derby County - Wrexham 1:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Leicester City - Derby County 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80
6	Hull	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One