Horsham vs Dover Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Murphy R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 88', 1 - 1, Onu R. ,

Chances of winning


Horsham
56%
Draw
23.8%
Dover Athletic
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 22.2% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 21.1% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Horsham - Dover Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.63)
    3.86
    (4.19)
    4.54
    (4.44)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Horsham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dover's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Dover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Horsham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Horsham is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Horsham will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Horsham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Horsham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Horsham - Dover Athletic were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Dover Athletic - Horsham 1:1
    01.01.2025 Dover Athletic - Horsham 1:2
    26.08.2024 Horsham - Dover Athletic 1:3
    Latest results of Horsham
    01.11.2025 Bath City - Horsham 0:2
    25.10.2025 Horsham - Enfield Town 1:0
    18.10.2025 Tonbridge Angels - Horsham 1:2
    11.10.2025 Dover Athletic - Horsham 1:1
    Latest results of Dover Athletic
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Bye
    2Hemel Hempstead (5)Weston-super-Mare (6)1 : 2
    3Torquay (3)Bye
    4Dorking (4)Maidenhead (7)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Weston-super-Mare (6)2 : 0
    2Torquay (3)Dorking (4)4 : 2

    Final
    1Hornchurch (2)Torquay (3)