Result
1:5
23/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, Griffiths D. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Griffiths B. L. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 2, Griffiths D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', McLean T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', 1 - 3, Griffiths D. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 4, Gullick L. ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 5, Redhead O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Trethomas Bluebirds
32.4% | Draw
27.1% | Caerau Ely
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+5%)
Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↓
(3.1) |
3.35 ↓
(3.5) |
2.24 ↑
(2) |
10.3%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4).
- Trethomas Bluebirds is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caerau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Trethomas Bluebirds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Caerau might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Trethomas Bluebirds won against Caerau Ely?
Trethomas Bluebirds has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Trethomas Bluebirds?
Caerau Ely has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely were as follows:
08.08.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
21.02.2025
Trethomas Bluebirds
-
Caerau Ely
1:0
26.08.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Trethomas Bluebirds
2:2
Latest results of Trethomas Bluebirds
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:10 | 40 | 57 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 56 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 32:21 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 40 |
| 5 | Aberystwyth | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Newport City | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 8 | Cardiff Draconians | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 32 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30:30 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Treowen | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 35:40 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 18 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 20 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14:50 | -36 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
