Result
0:0
25/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/397) | 72% (221/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/397) | 72% (221/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 31% (18/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (98/126) | 63% (69/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Diop M. 🟨,
- 66', Iago Siqueira 🟨,
- 73', Savalnieks R. ↓, Kouadio A. ↑,
- 73', Zelenkovs D. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
- 74', Grimaldo J. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
- 84', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Regza M. ↑,
- 84', Iago Siqueira ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
- 86', Talla M. ↓, Mares P. ↑,
- 88', Diop M. ↓, Muzinga N. ↑,
Chances of winning
RFS
31.1% | Draw
27.6% | Riga
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
RFS - Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.66) |
3.36 ↑
(3.33) |
2.24 ↓
(2.28) |
7.9%
(11.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RFS - Riga?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Riga will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. RFS (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFS won 2.
- RFS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Riga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- RFS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, RFS has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, RFS won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFS won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Riga?
RFS has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against RFS?
Riga has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFS - Riga were as follows:
18.06.2025
Riga
-
RFS
3:1
26.04.2025
RFS
-
Riga
0:1
01.03.2025
RFS
-
Riga
3:1
10.11.2024
RFS
-
Riga
1:2
23.09.2024
RFS
-
Riga
2:1
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 30 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 71 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Metta | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 24 |
| 10 | Grobina | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:56 | -28 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
