Result
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Riga
67.1% | Draw
19.3% | Liepāja
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Riga - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.36) |
4.7 ↓
(4.8) |
6.72 ↓
(6.76) |
10%
(9.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 4.
- Riga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Liepāja's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Riga is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Riga will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riga won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:13. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against Liepāja?
Riga has won 14 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Riga?
Liepāja has won 1 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Riga - Liepāja were as follows:
07.03.2026
Liepāja
-
Riga
2:1
03.10.2025
Riga
-
Liepāja
3:0
18.09.2025
Liepāja
-
Riga
0:4
19.07.2025
Liepāja
-
Riga
2:3
19.05.2025
Riga
-
Liepāja
2:0
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 3 | Auda | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
