Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/09/2025 at  16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
 
                                                - Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.62 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 52% | 48% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 30 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 11 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (300/373) | 73% (265/364) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.62 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.09 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 30 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 11 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 11 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 18 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 29 | 8 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 15 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (300/373) | 73% (265/364) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 55% (41/75) | 38% (32/84) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 72% (95/132) | 55% (54/99) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 20% (3/15) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.51 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 25 | 22 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 15 | 8 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 88% (7/8) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 48 | 34 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 31 | 26 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.61 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.91 | 0.61 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
 - 16', Alfani R. 🟨, 
 - 43', 0 - 1, Ramirez C. ⚽, 
 - 45+5', 1 - 1, Caballero F. (Pen), 
 - 45+9', Loyola N. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 46', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑, 
 - 58', Villar E. ↓, Tizon C. ↑, 
 - 58', Rasmussen M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑, 
 - 64', Vilchez J. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑, 
 - 64', Agurto F. ↓, Loyola N. ↑, 
 - 72', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨, 
 - 75', 2 - 1, Bilbao J. ⚽, 
 - 77', Arakaki H. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑, 
 - 83', Vega J. ↓, Flores C. ↑, 
 - 83', Toledo J. ↓, Rojas A. ↑, 
 - 83', Caballero F. ↓, Yovera A. ↑, 
 - 87', Tizon C. 🟨, 
 - 88', Valencia J. 🟨, 
 - 90+6', Barrios K. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Ayacucho  50.9% | Draw  28.1% | Juan Pablo II College  21% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.84 ↑ (1.65) | 
			   3.31 ↓ (3.8) | 
			   4.49 ↓ (4.65) | 
			   6.9% (8.4%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Ayacucho will win 
                    (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ayacucho will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)
 - Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
 - Ayacucho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Ayacucho is seen as the favorite.
 - There will not play in Ayacucho: Peral P.
(Red Card)
 - There are questionable in Ayacucho: Ataupillco J.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F.
(Injury)
 - In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
 - Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Juan Pablo II College?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ayacucho has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Ayacucho?
                    
                    
                        
                             Juan Pablo II College has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College were as follows:
                                                        
                                03.05.2025 
                                Juan Pablo II College 
                                - 
                                Ayacucho 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.09.2024 
                                Ayacucho 
                                - 
                                Juan Pablo II College 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                31.08.2024 
                                Juan Pablo II College 
                                - 
                                Ayacucho 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Ayacucho                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Juan Pablo II College                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )