Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (221/288) | 83% (312/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (221/288) | 83% (312/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (52/74) | 72% (93/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Fuentes P. ⚽,
- 30', Duarte B. 🟨,
- 33', Garro L. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
- 43', Duran J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Juambeltz M. ⚽, Alaniz M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Camacho D. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑,
- 56', Lliuya M. 🟨,
- 58', Ramirez E. ↓, Flores C. ↑,
- 63', Caro D. 🟨,
- 67', Caro D. ↓, Huerto J. ↑,
- 67', Arce L. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
- 72', Huerto J. 🟨,
- 76', Figuera A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, de Jesus M. ⚽, Paredes G. (A),
- 80', Tizon C. ↓, Iriarte I. ↑,
- 80', Cueva C. ↓, Henricks A. ↑,
- 84', Paredes G. 🟨,
- 85', Fuentes P. 🟨,
- 87', Juambeltz M. ↓, Bazan H. ↑,
- 87', Agurto F. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
- 90+1', Serra P. 🟥,
- 90+5', Rasmussen M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juan Pablo II College
41.2% | Draw
30.1% | Cajamarca
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.04) |
3.08 ↓
(3.28) |
3.24 ↓
(3.63) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juan Pablo II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Juan Pablo II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo II College won against Cajamarca?
Juan Pablo II College has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Juan Pablo II College?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Pablo II College - Cajamarca were as follows:
16.08.2025
Cajamarca
-
Juan Pablo II College
0:0
30.03.2025
Juan Pablo II College
-
Cajamarca
4:2
Latest results of Juan Pablo II College
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
