Result
1:1
27/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Robles C. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Portales J. ⚽, Escoboza A. (A),
- 45+2', Magana D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Rodriguez M. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,
- 63', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Barragan M. ⚽,
- 68', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 72', Garcia G. 🟨,
- 75', Magana D. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
- 75', Razo L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 82', Escoboza A. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 82', Saldivar J. ↓, Soto O. ↑,
- 90+1', Corona N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Torres H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
40.1% | Draw
26.9% | Jaiba Brava
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Atlético La Paz - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.45) |
3.41 ↓
(3.51) |
2.78 ↑
(2.65) |
9.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Jaiba Brava?
Users Predictions:
Jaiba Brava will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Jaiba Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Jaiba Brava?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Atlético La Paz?
Jaiba Brava has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
18.10.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Atlético La Paz
3:2
22.02.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Atlético La Paz
2:0
06.09.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Jaiba Brava
2:1
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
