Result
4:1
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 34
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Progresso 49.6% | Draw 28.1% | Sasso Marconi 22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Progresso - Sasso Marconi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↑ (1.72) |
3.21 ↓ (3.25) |
4.04 ↓ (4.3) |
10.8% (12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ))
- Sasso Marconi is Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Sasso Marconi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Progresso is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progresso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Progresso won against Sasso Marconi?
Progresso has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sasso Marconi won against Progresso?
Sasso Marconi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progresso - Sasso Marconi were as follows:
21.12.2025
Sasso Marconi
-
Progresso
2:3
05.01.2025
Sasso Marconi
-
Progresso
1:1
08.09.2024
Progresso
-
Sasso Marconi
1:3
Latest results of Progresso
Latest results of Sasso Marconi
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 39 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 28 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 39 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 6 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | -19 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 32:48 | -16 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 30:61 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | -55 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation