Result
2:3
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Calabrese A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 66', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sasso Marconi 39.7% | Draw 29.5% | Progresso 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Sasso Marconi - Progresso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↓ (2.42) |
3.07 ↓ (3.36) |
2.94 ↑ (2.54) |
10.4% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 2.
- Recent form of Sasso Marconi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Progresso has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sasso Marconi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sasso Marconi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sasso Marconi won against Progresso?
Sasso Marconi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progresso won against Sasso Marconi?
Progresso has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sasso Marconi - Progresso were as follows:
05.01.2025
Sasso Marconi
-
Progresso
1:1
08.09.2024
Progresso
-
Sasso Marconi
1:3
Latest results of Sasso Marconi
Latest results of Progresso
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lentigione | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 38:14 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Desenzano | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 47:18 | 29 | 57 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 42:16 | 26 | 56 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 37:19 | 18 | 47 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Rovato Vertovese | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Pro Palazzolo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32:32 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Crema | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 30 |
| 12 | SCD Progresso | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Correggese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24:35 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Imolese | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Trevigliese | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 20 |
| 17 | Tropical Coriano | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20:38 | -18 | 19 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 26 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 14:52 | -38 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation