Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (256/341) | 81% (347/431) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (256/341) | 81% (347/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (33/70) | 62% (38/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (63/102) | 66% (67/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Peterson K. 🟨,
- 23', Adewoye S. 🟨,
- 38', Holtby L. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 0, Peterson K. ⚽, Kasanwirjo N. (A),
- 65', Talvitie J. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
- 65', Jensen F. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
- 68', Peterson K. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
- 68', Limnios D. ↓, Ihattaren M. ↑,
- 69', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 73', Ayew A. 🟨,
- 78', Sowah K. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
- 78', Ayew A. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
- 86', van Ottele S. ↓, Johnson O. ↑,
- 86', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Marquez I. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Nassoh M. ⚽, Salama A. (A),
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
35.6% | Draw
27.7% | NAC Breda
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NAC Breda's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NAC Breda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.16) |
3.47 ↑
(3.45) |
2.62 ↓
(3.07) |
4.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3.
- Recent performances by Fortuna Sittard have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Breda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Breda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Branderhorst M.
(Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Inactive)
Hubner J.
(Inactive)
Lonwijk J.
(Muscle Injury)
Marsman N.
(Inactive)
Michut E.
(Inactive)
Pinto I.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Breda: Soumano M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Gbemou M.
(Inactive)
Ihattaren M.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against NAC Breda?
Fortuna Sittard has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Fortuna Sittard?
NAC Breda has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda were as follows:
17.08.2025
NAC Breda
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:1
10.05.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
NAC Breda
1:0
14.09.2024
NAC Breda
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:0
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Latest results of NAC Breda
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
