Shinnik vs Chayka Peschanokopskoye – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
16/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 19
  • Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
79
Corner Kicks
106
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
106
Free Kicks
1412

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Kul R. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Kornyushin D. ,
  • 39', 3 - 0, Bozov N. ,
  • 41', 3 - 1, Sokolov A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gapeev V. , Ivannikov D. ,
  • 57', Ishchenko N. , Chervyakov R. ,
  • 58', Samoilov D. , Gongapshev A. ,
  • 61', 4 - 1, Kornyushin D. ,
  • 70', Shipunov T. , Nafikov V. ,
  • 75', Dzhebov A. , Kaptilovich D. ,
  • 80', Golubev A. , Chernyi A. ,
  • 80', Stefanovich I. , Porokhov I. ,
  • 80', Malyarov K. , Kotin N. ,
  • 84', Biblik S. , Topinka S. ,
  • 84', Gulyaev E. , Gerdt A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shinnik
50.5%
Draw
29.7%
Chayka Peschanokopskoye
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 27.9% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 21.5% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shinnik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.74)
    3.22
    (3.39)
    4.81
    (5.31)
    4.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2.
    • Shinnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Peschanokopskoye has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Shinnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Shinnik is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik 1:2
    17.11.2024 Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0:0
    30.10.2024 Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye 1:0
    15.09.2024 Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik 2:2
    Latest results of Shinnik
    09.11.2025 Rotor - Shinnik 3:0
    01.11.2025 Shinnik - Chelyabinsk 1:0
    25.10.2025 Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma 2:2
    20.10.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik 0:0
    Latest results of Chayka Peschanokopskoye
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

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