Shinnik vs Chelyabinsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
39
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
39
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
14
Free Kicks
917

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kul R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Komissarov T. , Zhamaletdinov T. ,
  • 57', Kornyushin D. 🟨,
  • 60', Lanin O. , Nafikov V. ,
  • 71', Kosogorov A. 🟨,
  • 73', Stefanovich I. , Mironov D. ,
  • 73', Kosogorov A. , Malakhov A. ,
  • 76', Gatin B. , Nosov A. ,
  • 77', Kochiev K. 🟨,
  • 87', Malyarov K. , Kotin N. ,
  • 87', Samoilov D. , Emelyanov D. ,
  • 87', Kul R. , Porokhov I. ,
  • 89', Kotin N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shinnik
40.3%
Draw
33.2%
Chelyabinsk
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 32.5% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 33.5% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Shinnik - Chelyabinsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.61)
    2.8
    (2.94)
    3.51
    (3.09)
    7.7%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).
    • Recent form of Shinnik has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Chelyabinsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shinnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Shinnik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Shinnik
    25.10.2025 Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma 2:2
    20.10.2025 Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik 0:0
    11.10.2025 Shinnik - Fakel 0:1
    05.10.2025 SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik 3:1
    Latest results of Chelyabinsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural32177848:291958
    4R. Volgograd321411742:251753
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl321113831:25646
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula32815941:39239
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

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