Xerez CD vs Estepona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Xerez CD - Estepona
Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 4

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Xerez CD
45.4%
Draw
32.7%
Estepona
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.8% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 25.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estepona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xerez CD that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estepona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Xerez CD - Estepona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.24)
    2.82
    (3.16)
    4.21
    (2.97)
    8.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Xerez is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Estepona is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Xerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Xerez is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Xerez CD - Estepona were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Estepona - Xerez CD 1:1
    14.09.2024 Xerez CD - Estepona 0:1
    Latest results of Xerez CD
    21.09.2025 Águilas - Xerez CD 0:0
    14.09.2025 Xerez CD - Antoniano 2:0
    06.09.2025 Puente Genil - Xerez CD 2:1
    Latest results of Estepona
    14.09.2025 Minera - Estepona 1:0
    24.08.2025 Estepona - Melilla 0:2
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CD Extremadura44008:4412
    2Deportiva Minera431010:3710
    3Puente Genil42205:328
    4La Union42204:228
    5Recreativo Huelva42115:327
    6Jaen42115:417
    7Linares41304:316
    8Aguilas FC41214:405
    9UCAM Murcia41213:4-15
    10Melilla41124:404
    11Xerez CD41123:304
    12Yeclano41123:4-14
    13CD Estepona41122:3-14
    14Almeria B41031:7-63
    15Malagueno40223:5-22
    16Lorca Deportiva40222:4-22
    17Xerez D.F.C40224:7-32
    18Antoniano40222:5-32

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation