Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mortágua
36.7% | Draw
32.6% | Os Marialvas
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mortágua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Mortágua - Os Marialvas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.19) |
2.77 ↓
(3.1) |
2.94 ↓
(3.1) |
10.8%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 7).
- Mortágua is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marialvas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Marialvas has had a series of home games.
- Mortágua could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mortágua won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mortágua won against Os Marialvas?
Mortágua has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Os Marialvas won against Mortágua?
Os Marialvas has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - Os Marialvas were as follows:
07.12.2025
Os Marialvas
-
Mortágua
0:1
21.09.2025
Mortágua
-
Os Marialvas
1:0
02.02.2025
Os Marialvas
-
Mortágua
0:0
15.09.2024
Mortágua
-
Os Marialvas
1:1
Latest results of Mortágua
Latest results of Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
