Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 87', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Samora Correia
26.3% | Draw
29.9% | Os Marialvas
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Samora Correia - Os Marialvas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(3.17) |
3.03 ↓
(3.15) |
2.07 ↓
(2.15) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Marialvas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marialvas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samora Correia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against Os Marialvas?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Os Marialvas won against Samora Correia?
Os Marialvas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samora Correia - Os Marialvas were as follows:
09.11.2025
Os Marialvas
-
Samora Correia
2:1
Latest results of Samora Correia
Latest results of Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
