Result
 
                    4:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        09/05/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Eerste Divisie - Round 38
 
                                                - Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.72 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 39% | 61% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 70% (184/261) | 80% (354/443) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.72 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.98 | 1.11 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 16 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 42 | 24 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 70% (184/261) | 80% (354/443) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 42% (31/73) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 57% (60/106) | 58% (69/119) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 20% (2/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.72 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 14 | 22 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 10 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 50% (4/8) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 49 | 39 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 29 | 24 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.98 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.02 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
 - 13', Esajas S. 🟨, 
 - 14', 1 - 0, Schuurman J. (Pen), 
 - 42', 2 - 0, Afaker M. ⚽, Schuurman J. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 1)
 - 46', Kotzebue V. ↓, Haen D. ↑, 
 - 48', 2 - 1, Esajas S. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A), 
 - 58', Curiel G. ↓, Steur D. ↑, 
 - 58', Beukers D. ↓, Payne D. ↑, 
 - 58', Zijlstra M. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑, 
 - 68', Pynadath J. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑, 
 - 68', Afaker M. ↓, Slory J. ↑, 
 - 68', Akmum R. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑, 
 - 68', 3 - 1, van der Sluijs J. ⚽, 
 - 72', 4 - 1, Schuurman J. ⚽, Slory J. (A), 
 - 76', Oehlers A. ↓, Wong-A-Soij K. ↑, 
 - 76', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Cabral J. ↑, 
 - 77', Valk S. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑, 
 - 78', Tabiri K. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                  
                    
                        Highlights
                    
                    
					
                        
                           
                            
                                
https://tinyurl.com/b4wyczk6
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Dordrecht  47.2% | Draw  23.4% | Volendam  29.4% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Dordrecht - Volendam Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.98 ↓ (2.35) | 
			   3.99 ↑ (3.78) | 
			   3.19 ↑ (2.67) | 
			   6.9% (6.5%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Volendam?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Dordrecht will win 
                    (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dordrecht will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
  - Dordrecht is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion ) 
 - Volendam is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Eredivisie
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 1.
 - In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
 - Volendam is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  - Dordrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.
 - There will not play in Dordrecht: Kriwak R.
(Knee Injury)
Parlanti G.
(Yellow Cards)
Seydoux L.
(Yellow Cards)
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:49. (average 1.4:2.5).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Volendam?
                    
                    
                        
                            Dordrecht has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Volendam won against Dordrecht?
                    
                    
                        
                             Volendam has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Volendam were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.09.2024 
                                Volendam 
                                - 
                                Dordrecht 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Dordrecht                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Volendam                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Den Haag | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 39:11 | 28 | 37 | 
| 2 | Cambuur | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 30:18 | 12 | 30 | 
| 3 | Roda | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 26 | 
| 4 | Jong PSV | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 24 | 
| 5 | Waalwijk | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:22 | 4 | 22 | 
| 6 | Willem II | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:23 | -5 | 21 | 
| 7 | Den Bosch | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 20 | 
| 8 | De Graafschap | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 19 | 
| 9 | Helmond | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 | 
| 10 | Dordrecht | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 | 
| 11 | Venlo | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 | 
| 12 | FC Emmen | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | 
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 16 | 
| 14 | Maastricht | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 | 
| 15 | Almere City | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 14 | 
| 16 | Jong AZ | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 14 | 
| 17 | Oss | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:27 | -9 | 14 | 
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11:27 | -16 | 14 | 
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 8 | 
| 20 | Vitesse | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 6 | 
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )