Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht).

Eerste Divisie - Round 28
Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.23
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
6	3
Passes
84% (452/538)	74% (223/300)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.44	2.13
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
9	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
40	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	4
Free kicks
13	7
Passes
84% (452/538)	74% (223/300)
Long passes
55% (44/80)	40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
76% (136/179)	65% (51/78)
Crosses
23% (7/31)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.47
Throw ins
18	24
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
48% (10/21)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
46	42
Clearances
10	43
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
2.13	0.44
Goals prevented
1.13	0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Abdalla M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Codutti L. ↓, Mica Pinto ↑,
46', Valk S. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
55', Abdalla M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
55', Nash P. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
57', Sunderland L. 🟨,
64', de Bie J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
65', van Asten R. 🟨,
67', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
74', Sunderland L. ↓, van Vianen D. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Vink S. ⚽, Jetten L. (A),
83', Darelas A. ↓, Bischof N. ↑,
90', M'Bemba Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Dordrecht
64.9%

Draw
19.7%

Jong Ajax
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

20.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Dordrecht - Jong Ajax Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)	4.8 ↑ (4.28)	6.12 ↑ (4.82)	7.1% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Jong Ajax?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.
Dordrecht is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Jong Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Dordrecht is the team to beat.
There are questionable in Dordrecht: Hardley B. (Injury) Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)
We predict that Dordrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:44. (average 1.7:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 2.6:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Jong Ajax?

Dordrecht has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Dordrecht?

Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Jong Ajax were as follows:

07.11.2025 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:0

04.04.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 3:0

30.09.2024 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:1

29.01.2024 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 2:2

20.10.2023 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 4:0

Latest results of Dordrecht

13.02.2026 Dordrecht - Emmen 1:0 ✺

09.02.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺

03.02.2026 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 3:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Vitesse - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺

23.01.2026 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Jong Ajax

16.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1 ✺

19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2 ✺

12.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax 1:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )