Castellón vs Racing Santander – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Max
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.833.11
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
37
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
33
Passes
85% (427/502)74% (221/298)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.833.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.863.06
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
101
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
1110
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
54
Free kicks
1313
Passes
85% (427/502)74% (221/298)
Long passes
51% (22/43)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
77% (134/174)62% (41/66)
Crosses
25% (9/36)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.771.51
Throw ins
1815
Fouls
1313
Tackles
53% (10/19)42% (8/19)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
844
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
3.061.86
Goals prevented
0.060.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Guliashvili G. ⚽,
  • 31', Alcazar L. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Mantilla A. ⚽, Guliashvili G. (A),
  • 39', Mantilla A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
  • 42', 0 - 3, Guliashvili G. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jakobsen A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
  • 46', Alcazar L. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
  • 46', Barri ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
  • 61', Camara S. 🟨,
  • 63', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 67', Guliashvili G. ↓, Franco S. ↑,
  • 67', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
  • 68', Camara S. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
  • 69', Sanchez R. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Suero I. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 88', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
  • 90', Vicente I. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
  • 90+4', Mellot J. 🟥,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/7hum7erz

Chances of winning


Castellón
57.9%		Draw
23%		Racing Santander
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 22.2% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 21.6% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
    •

    Castellón - Racing Santander Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.63 ↓
    (1.66)    		 4.07 ↓
    (4.25)    		 4.9 ↑
    (4.51)    		 6.3%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Castellón - Racing Santander?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Racing (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Castellón will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 75%). Racing (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • Castellón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Camara O. (Yellow Cards) Sienra A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Inactive) Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Martin A. (Yellow Cards) Ramon P. (Hamstring Injury) Villalibre A. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Castellón will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Racing Santander were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 3:1
    13.04.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 1:1
    22.09.2024 Castellón - Racing Santander 0:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    21.02.2026 Las Palmas - Castellón 1:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Castellón - Deportivo La Coruña 2:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Valladolid - Castellón 0:4 ✺
    01.02.2026 Castellón - FC Andorra 2:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Zaragoza - Castellón 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    22.02.2026 Racing Santander - Burgos 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Eibar - Racing Santander 2:1 ✺
    09.02.2026 Racing Santander - Mirandés 1:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Granada - Racing Santander 1:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Deportivo La Coruña - Racing Santander 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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