Castellón vs Racing Santander – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Max
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 2
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.833.11
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
37
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
33
Passes
85% (427/502)74% (221/298)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.833.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.863.06
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
101
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
1110
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
54
Free kicks
1313
Passes
85% (427/502)74% (221/298)
Long passes
51% (22/43)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
77% (134/174)62% (41/66)
Crosses
25% (9/36)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.771.51
Throw ins
1815
Fouls
1313
Tackles
53% (10/19)42% (8/19)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
844
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
3.061.86
Goals prevented
0.060.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Guliashvili G. ,
  • 31', Alcazar L. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Mantilla A. , Guliashvili G. (A),
  • 39', Mantilla A. , Castro J. ,
  • 42', 0 - 3, Guliashvili G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jakobsen A. , Garcia A. ,
  • 46', Alcazar L. , Suero I. ,
  • 46', Barri , Mabil A. ,
  • 61', Camara S. 🟨,
  • 63', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 67', Guliashvili G. , Franco S. ,
  • 67', Rodriguez D. , Gueye M. ,
  • 68', Camara S. , Sangalli M. ,
  • 69', Sanchez R. , Ruiz S. ,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Suero I. , Cipenga B. (A),
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 88', Gerenabarrena B. , Doue M. ,
  • 90', Vicente I. , Mata J. ,
  • 90+4', Mellot J. 🟥,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/7hum7erz

Chances of winning


Castellón
57.9%
Draw
23%
Racing Santander
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 22.2% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 21.6% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Castellón - Racing Santander Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.66)
    4.07
    (4.25)
    4.9
    (4.51)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Castellón - Racing Santander?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Racing (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Castellón will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Castellón will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 75%). Racing (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
    • Castellón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Camara O. (Yellow Cards) Sienra A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Inactive) Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Martin A. (Yellow Cards) Ramon P. (Hamstring Injury) Villalibre A. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Castellón will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Racing Santander were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 3:1
    13.04.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 1:1
    22.09.2024 Castellón - Racing Santander 0:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    21.02.2026 Las Palmas - Castellón 1:1
    08.02.2026 Valladolid - Castellón 0:4
    01.02.2026 Castellón - FC Andorra 2:0
    25.01.2026 Zaragoza - Castellón 0:0
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation