Result
0:3
21/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
World | K League TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', Goh Young-Jun 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Kim Dae-Won ⚽,
- 41', Lee Jung-Taek 🟨,
- 44', Song Jun-Seok 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Kim Dae-Won (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kang M. ↓, Lee G. ↑,
- 46', Park Se-Jin ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑,
- 56', Choe Byeong-Chan ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
- 56', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
- 59', Jeon Byung-Kwan ↓, Hong Yun-Sang ↑,
- 69', Kim Joo-Chan ↓, Go Jae-Hyeon ↑,
- 72', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Lee Seung-Won ↑,
- 72', Kim Dae-Won 🟨,
- 77', Tuci M. 🟨,
- 82', Hong Yun-Sang ↓, Park Jin-Seong ↑,
- 83', 0 - 3, Hleihel A. ⚽, Kim Dae-Won (A),
- 85', Mo Jae-Hyeon ↓, Kang Y. ↑,
- 85', Kim Dae-Won ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
- 90+5', Lee Sang-Heon 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gimcheon Sangmu 30.1% | Draw 30.4% | Gangwon 39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.1 ↑ (2.87) |
3.08 ↓ (3.28) |
2.39 ↓ (2.4) |
6.5% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Gangwon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 2.5% – 64.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimcheon Sangmu won against Gangwon?
Gimcheon Sangmu has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gangwon won against Gimcheon Sangmu?
Gangwon has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon were as follows:
08.11.2025
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Gangwon
0:1
09.08.2025
Gangwon
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0
11.05.2025
Gangwon
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
0:4
30.03.2025
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Gangwon
1:0
26.10.2024
Gangwon
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
1:0
Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
Latest results of Gangwon
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Seoul | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 4 | Gangwon | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Daejeon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Pohang | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Anyang | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Incheon | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | -21 | 6 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )