Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan HD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Gimcheon Sangmu
35.5%
Draw
28.4%
Ulsan HD
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 28.4% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 28.5% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.63)
    3.25
    (3.1)
    2.56
    (2.3)
    8.2%
    (13.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 2.
    • In recent matches, Gimcheon Sangmu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ulsan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Ulsan has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:42. (average 1.2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD were as follows:
    22.03.2026 Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu 0:0
    05.10.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 3:0
    24.05.2025 Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu 3:2
    27.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 2:0
    19.10.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 0:0
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    02.05.2026 FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:3
    25.04.2026 Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu 0:2
    21.04.2026 Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon 0:3
    18.04.2026 Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu 1:1
    12.04.2026 Gimcheon Sangmu - Anyang 1:1
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    02.05.2026 Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers 0:1
    26.04.2026 Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen 1:4
    22.04.2026 Anyang - Ulsan HD 1:1
    19.04.2026 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 5:1
    15.04.2026 Ulsan HD - FC Seoul 1:4
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Seoul1181223:91425
    2Jeonbuk1153315:11418
    3Ulsan HD1152417:16117
    4Gangwon1144314:9516
    5Daejeon1143416:10615
    6Pohang114348:9-115
    7Anyang1135314:12214
    8Incheon1142514:16-214
    9Gimcheon Sangmu1127212:13-113
    10Bucheon FC 1995113449:13-413
    11Jeju SK113358:11-312
    12Gwangju FC111377:28-216

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )