Result
1:2
19/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Meza U. 🟨,
- 39', Brigido J. 🟨,
- 43', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Melendre F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 2, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Lomeli D. ↓, Soria E. ↑,
- 62', Meza U. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 62', Brigido J. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
- 62', Gonzalez O. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 62', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez J. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
- 68', Chavez A. ↓, Uscanga P. ↑,
- 78', Melendre F. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
- 78', Gil O. ↓, Villalobos A. ↑,
- 78', Lopez L. ↓, Villatoro M. ↑,
- 89', Villa O. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Ledesma A. ⚽, Villalobos A. (A),
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
43.8% | Draw
27.2% | Cancún
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.89) |
3.41 ↓
(3.54) |
3.19 ↓
(3.59) |
8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cancún (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 4.
- In recent matches, Leones Negros UdeG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cancún is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leones Negros UdeG could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Cancún?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Cancún has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún were as follows:
08.11.2025
Cancún
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:1
23.02.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Cancún
1:0
07.09.2024
Cancún
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:1
09.02.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Cancún
2:0
05.10.2023
Cancún
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Jaiba Brava (5) | |
