Venados vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida).

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
Referee: Gil J. (Mex)

Match Stats


Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
20	11
Shots on target
10	1
Corner kicks
8	3
Yellow cards
2	5
Red cards
0	1
Total shots
20	11
Shots on target
10	1
Shots off target
10	10
Corner kicks
8	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Torres D. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ⚽,
30', Tejeda D. 🟨,
43', Sanchez J. 🟨,
44', Meza U. 🟨,
45+1', Munoz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Galvan P. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
51', Hernandez S. A. 🟨,
64', Gil O. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
64', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
70', Hernandez S. A. 🟨,
74', Grijalva A. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
77', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Flores B. ↑,
82', Meza U. ↓, Lara M. ↑,
82', Munoz D. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Lopez C. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
89', 2 - 1, Lopez C. ⚽, Ballesteros O. (A),
90+2', Tejeda D. ↓, Navarrete D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Venados
52.2%

Draw
23.8%

Leones Negros UdeG
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venados's performance.

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Venados - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.01)	3.89 ↑ (3.68)	3.85 ↑ (3.14)	7.9% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Venados - Leones Negros UdeG?

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 1.
Recent form of Venados has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Leones Negros UdeG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Venados will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Leones Negros UdeG?

Venados has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Venados?

Leones Negros UdeG has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:

02.11.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Venados 1:0

18.04.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Venados 3:1

01.11.2024 Venados - Leones Negros UdeG 3:0

24.01.2024 Venados - Leones Negros UdeG 1:1

17.08.2023 Leones Negros UdeG - Venados 4:1

Latest results of Venados

05.04.2026 Jaiba Brava - Venados 1:1 ✺

27.03.2026 Venados - Atlante 4:1 ✺

20.03.2026 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados 2:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Venados - Correcaminos UAT 0:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG

04.04.2026 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético Morelia 2:0 ✺

27.03.2026 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG 1:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas 1:3 ✺

14.03.2026 Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG 1:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG 3:0 ✺

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔	14	7	5	2	21:10	11	26
2	Atl. Morelia	13	7	2	4	18:11	7	23
3	Cancun	13	6	4	3	22:16	6	22
4	Atletico La Paz	13	5	6	2	21:11	10	21
5	Tapatio	13	6	2	5	27:21	6	20
6	Zacatecas Mineros	13	6	2	5	19:20	-1	20
7	Atlante	13	5	4	4	20:16	4	19
8	Irapuato	13	6	1	6	27:24	3	19
9	Tlaxcala	13	5	4	4	14:15	-1	19
10	Jaiba Brava	13	5	3	5	14:15	-1	18
11	Venados	13	4	3	6	23:23	0	15
12	Alebrijes Oaxaca	13	3	4	6	17:28	-11	13
13	Correcaminos	13	3	3	7	13:24	-11	12
14	Leones Negros	13	2	5	6	14:23	-9	11
15	Dorados de Sinaloa	13	2	4	7	14:27	-13	10

Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)