Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Gil J. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Torres D. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ⚽,
- 30', Tejeda D. 🟨,
- 43', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 44', Meza U. 🟨,
- 45+1', Munoz D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Galvan P. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 51', Hernandez S. A. 🟨,
- 64', Gil O. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 64', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 70', Hernandez S. A. 🟨,
- 74', Grijalva A. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 77', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Flores B. ↑,
- 82', Meza U. ↓, Lara M. ↑,
- 82', Munoz D. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Lopez C. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
- 89', 2 - 1, Lopez C. ⚽, Ballesteros O. (A),
- 90+2', Tejeda D. ↓, Navarrete D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Venados
52.2% | Draw
23.8% | Leones Negros UdeG
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venados's performance.Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Venados - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(2.01) |
3.89 ↑
(3.68) |
3.85 ↑
(3.14) |
7.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Venados - Leones Negros UdeG?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 1.
- Recent form of Venados has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leones Negros UdeG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Venados will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Venados has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Venados?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
02.11.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Venados
1:0
18.04.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Venados
3:1
01.11.2024
Venados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
3:0
24.01.2024
Venados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
17.08.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Venados
4:1
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Jaiba Brava (5) | |
