Result
2:2
17/03/2023 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 25
- Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
Chances of winning
Arminia Bielefeld
44% | Draw
28.9% | Nürnberg
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.32) |
3.29 ↓
(3.29) |
3.48 ↑
(2.96) |
5.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 54.1% – 91.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
- Arminia has the most likely position - 14 (13.81%), project points - 38, currently - 24, a chance of relegated (18%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Nürnberg has the most likely position - 14 (14.3%), project points - 39, currently - 28, a small chance of relegated (14%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 28, importance 41, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 3.
- Arminia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Nürnberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Arminia will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Arminia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Nürnberg?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Nürnberg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg were as follows:
09.09.2022
Nürnberg
-
Arminia Bielefeld
1:0
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Latest results of Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Schalke | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hannover | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Nurnberg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Bochum | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
