Result
1:3
17/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 12
- Referee: Keating L. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (191/286) | 69% (245/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (191/286) | 69% (245/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (31/80) | 40% (36/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (46/111) | 54% (77/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 1', 0 - 1, Keena A. ⚽, Redmond J. (A),
- 26', Farrell S. 🟨,
- 33', Lennon J. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 2, Keeley C. (Own goal),
- 37', 0 - 3, Leavy K. ⚽, Lennon J. (A),
- 45', Kane C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Oluwa T. ↓, Kareem D. ↑,
- 46', Kane C. ↓, Cruise K. ↑,
- 46', Bolger J. ↓, Brennan R. ↑,
- 46', Leavy K. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
- 62', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
- 62', Keena A. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
- 62', Redmond J. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 3, Kavanagh B. ⚽,
- 65', Nugent D. 🟨,
- 81', Brennan R. 🟨,
- 87', Davis W. ↓, O'Connor C. ↑,
- 90+1', Edmondson R. ↓, Nzingo G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Drogheda United
21% | Draw
28.4% | St Patricks Athletic
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+1%)
Drogheda United - St Patricks Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.43 ↑
(4.33) |
3.28 ↓
(3.42) |
1.86 ↓
(1.87) |
6.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Drogheda United - St Patricks Athletic?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Drogheda United will win (votes: 1 - 20%). St Patricks will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 0.
- Drogheda United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, St Patricks has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Drogheda United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, St Patricks is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Drogheda United: Brady S.
(Inactive)
Lambe O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in St Patricks: Boyce R.
(Knee Injury)
Elbouzedi Z.
(Hamstring Injury)
Power S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Drogheda United: O'Brien E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in St Patricks: Hoare S.
(Injury)
Keena A.
(Inactive)
Palmer R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 8:31. (average 0.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Drogheda United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Drogheda United won against St Patricks Athletic?
Drogheda United has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Drogheda United?
St Patricks Athletic has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Drogheda United - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
13.03.2026
St Patricks Athletic
-
Drogheda United
4:1
22.08.2025
Drogheda United
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:1
13.06.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Drogheda United
0:0
21.04.2025
Drogheda United
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:0
14.02.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Drogheda United
0:0
Latest results of Drogheda United
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 26:23 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Derry City | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Galway | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Waterford | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12:28 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
