Result
0:1
21/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
- Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (263/340) | 77% (269/351) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 51% (44/87) | 61% (73/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 11% (1/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Mayenda E. ⚽,
- 33', Bellingham J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Harness M. 🟨,
- 58', Jackson K. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 58', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 58', Thompson L. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 72', Wilson K. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
- 72', Yates J. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 74', Mayenda E. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
- 74', Cirkin D. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
- 86', Rigg C. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
- 89', Le Fee E. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
26.8% | Draw
28.6% | Sunderland
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Sunderland aligns with the current prediction.
Derby County - Sunderland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(3.33) |
3.33 ↓
(3.43) |
2.13 ↓
(2.15) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Sunderland?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). Sunderland will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 30.8% – 66%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Derby has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Sunderland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Sunderland will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Derby: Nyambe R.
(Knee Injury)
Phillips N.
(Injury)
Ward J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sunderland: Browne A.
(Broken Leg)
Huggins N.
(Groin Injury)
Mundle R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Poveda I.
(Muscle Injury)
Seelt J.
(Groin Injury)
Watson T.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Sunderland to win the game is with odds 2.13.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Derby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Sunderland?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sunderland won against Derby County?
Sunderland has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Sunderland were as follows:
01.10.2024
Sunderland
-
Derby County
2:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Sunderland
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
