Bristol City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
0:5
30/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 30
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.232.01
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
17
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
41
Passes
82% (453/551)78% (284/364)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.232.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.102.79
Total shots
717
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
313
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
05
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1429
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
159
Passes
82% (453/551)78% (284/364)
Long passes
43% (21/49)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
59% (84/142)68% (55/81)
Crosses
13% (2/16)75% (3/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.75
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
915
Tackles
53% (8/15)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
2.790.10
Goals prevented
-2.210.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 11', Ozoh D. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Brewster R. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
  • 16', 0 - 2, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Clark B. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Clark B. ⚽, Brereton Diaz B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Sykes M. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
  • 46', Bell S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
  • 60', Travis L. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
  • 63', Twine S. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
  • 66', 0 - 4, Agyemang P. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
  • 70', Brewster R. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
  • 70', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
  • 74', Randell A. ↓, Morsy S. ↑,
  • 78', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Eames O. ↑,
  • 78', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
  • 80', Pring C. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 5, Salvesen L. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol City
47.4%		Draw
27.1%		Derby County
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 27.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 28% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Bristol City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2 ↑
    (1.94)    		 3.48 ↓
    (3.5)    		 3.71 ↓
    (3.93)    		 5.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bristol City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 20%). Derby (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH 0 - Derby (2.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Bristol City (1.31) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Derby (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bristol City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Mayulu F. (Inactive) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Vyner Z. (Inactive) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Derby County were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Derby County - Bristol City 1:1
    04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0
    31.08.2024 Derby County - Bristol City 3:0
    Latest results of Bristol City
    24.01.2026 Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:0 ✺
    20.01.2026 Ipswich Town - Bristol City 2:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Oxford United - Bristol City 0:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Bristol City - Watford 5:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Bristol City - Preston North End 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    23.01.2026 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 1:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Preston North End - Derby County 0:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Derby County - Leeds United 1:3 ✺
    04.01.2026 Derby County - Wrexham 1:2 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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