Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Abdulkadhim S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Mahmoud A. ⚽,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Ahmed S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Shorta Baghdad
65.6% | Draw
22.9% | Diyala
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.34) |
3.94 ↓
(4.27) |
7.88 ↓
(8.75) |
10.7%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Shorta will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Al-Shorta (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).
- Al-Shorta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Diyala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Shorta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Shorta is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Al-Shorta will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Shorta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Diyala?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diyala won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Diyala has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala were as follows:
18.05.2025
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Diyala
1:0
26.09.2024
Diyala
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
0:6
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:20 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 27 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 19:48 | -29 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
