Result
3:0
24/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 3
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.10 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/409) | 76% (301/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.10 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/409) | 76% (301/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 57% (30/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (91/138) | 63% (52/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 4.31 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Hillen R. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Chery T. (Pen),
- 22', Valerius C. 🟨,
- 22', Mahmutovic E. 🟨,
- 24', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
- 45', Pereira B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Nassoh M. 🟨,
- 47', 2 - 0, Onal B. ⚽, Verdonk C. (A),
- 58', Ouaissa S. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 66', Valerius C. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
- 71', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 71', Linssen B. ↓, van Crooij V. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 0, van Crooij V. ⚽, Misidjan V. (A),
- 80', Holtby L. ↓, Candelaria J. ↑,
- 80', Balard M. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 80', Talvitie J. ↓, Versluis D. ↑,
- 84', Pereira B. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
- 84', Onal B. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
60.7% | Draw
21.5% | NAC Breda
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.57) |
4.5 ↑
(4.18) |
5.48 ↑
(5.2) |
4.1%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Breda will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.
- Nijmegen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Breda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Breda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Breda: Brym C.
(Arm Injury)
Greiml L.
(Broken Hand)
Jensen F.
(Toe Injury)
Soumano M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against NAC Breda?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against NEC Nijmegen?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda were as follows:
14.05.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
NAC Breda
3:0
05.10.2024
NAC Breda
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
