Result
3:2 OT
24/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 3.61 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.04% (3/23) | 6.67% (2/30) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.33% (28/30) | 86.96% (20/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.27 | 52.73 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 09:13, 1 - 0, Lappalainen L. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Korkiakoski T. (A2)
- 14:44, Hillis C. (2 min),
- 14:58, 1 - 1, Virtanen S. (G), Hamalainen J. (A), Keskitalo M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 05:50, Kangasniemi I. (2 min),
- 08:11, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 19:57, 2 - 1, Soderlund T. (G), Saarelainen J. (A), Klemetti A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 09:25, Soderlund T. (2 min),
- 10:37, Komarov L. (2 min),
- 16:02, Soderlund T. (2 min),
- 17:05, 2 - 2, Kulonummi K. (G), Kangasniemi I. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 01:24, 3 - 2, Soderlund T. (G), Saarelainen J. (A),
Chances of winning
KalPa
40.2% | Draw
24.3% | Kiekko-Espoo
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KalPa's form might have worsened.Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kiekko-Espoo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KalPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kiekko-Espoo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(1.88) |
3.86 ↑
(3.78) |
2.63 ↓
(3.67) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has had a series of home games.
- KalPa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 2.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Kiekko-Espoo?
KalPa has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against KalPa?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo were as follows:
14.01.2026
Kiekko-Espoo
-
KalPa
1:2
11.10.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
KalPa
1:2
16.09.2025
KalPa
-
Kiekko-Espoo
4:2
07.03.2025
KalPa
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:4
25.01.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
KalPa
0:3
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
