Result
3:3
16/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, (Pen),
- 14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 14', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 68', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caudal Deportivo 64.6% | Draw 22% | San Martín 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caudal Deportivo's performance.San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caudal Deportivo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Caudal Deportivo - San Martín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.55) |
4.18 ↑ (3.6) |
6.88 ↑ (5.58) |
8.8% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caudal Deportivo - San Martín?
Users Predictions:
Caudal Deportivo will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Caudal Deportivo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 2.
- Caudal Deportivo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Martín is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Caudal Deportivo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Caudal Deportivo won against San Martín?
Caudal Deportivo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín won against Caudal Deportivo?
San Martín has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caudal Deportivo - San Martín were as follows:
09.02.2025
San Martín
-
Caudal Deportivo
0:1
29.09.2024
Caudal Deportivo
-
San Martín
0:0
Latest results of Caudal Deportivo
Latest results of San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 56:18 | 38 | 68 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 62 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 61:20 | 41 | 54 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 51 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 49 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 42 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 37 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 36 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Llanes | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Club Siero | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | Praviano | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 31:44 | -13 | 23 |
| 15 | Lenense | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 22 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 22 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20:49 | -29 | 17 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 16:53 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation