Al Jubail vs Al-Arabi Al-Saudi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/01/2026 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.27
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
77% (300/390)76% (282/372)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.03
Total shots
98
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
129
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
77% (300/390)76% (282/372)
Long passes
39% (23/59)33% (25/75)
Passes in final third
60% (61/102)59% (67/113)
Crosses
20% (3/15)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.29
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
1513
Tackles
59% (10/17)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.031.13
Goals prevented
0.03-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Abed A. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Dias R. , Fati E. (A),
  • 34', Udo S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Lahlali Z. , Al Mahmoudi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sheldon , Al Masoudi A. ,
  • 57', Al Shammari M. , Al Jubaya A. ,
  • 59', Waheeb W. , Acosta N. ,
  • 65', Vinicius Araujo 🟥,
  • 69', Fati E. , Al Omari A. ,
  • 74', Al Omari A. 🟨,
  • 78', Daqarshawi A. , Ciss A. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Fajr F. ,
  • 87', Al Zaqan A. , Al Wahabi S. ,
  • 88', Acosta N. , Al Salem M. ,
  • 89', Al Wahabi S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al Jubail
28.4%
Draw
28.1%
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 28.2% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 28% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Jubail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Jubail than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Jubail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (2.72)
    3.22
    (3.21)
    2.08
    (2.36)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al Jubail will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Al-Arabi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • Al Jubail is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Al-Arabi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Jubail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al Jubail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jubail 3:1
    29.09.2024 Al Jubail - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 3:1
    Latest results of Al Jubail
    31.12.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al Jubail 5:2
    25.12.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Jubail 2:1
    19.12.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain 0:0
    12.12.2025 Al Jandal - Al Jubail 1:0
    28.11.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah26175462:273556
    3Al-Ula26157455:253052
    4Al Jabalain26147549:301949
    5Al Orubah26145741:33847
    6Al-Faisaly261210453:322146
    7Al Raed26118748:351341
    8Al Bukiryah261141129:36-737
    9Al Zulfi2698932:32035
    10Al Taee26881038:39-132
    11Al Wehda26951239:44-532
    12Al Anwar26710935:38-331
    13Jeddah26710928:36-831
    14Al Jandal26681222:45-2326
    15Al Adalah26381532:58-2617
    16Al Arabi26441812:44-3216
    17Al Batin26351827:53-2614
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

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