Al-Arabi Al-Saudi vs Al-Bukayriyah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/04/2026 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.621.40
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
22
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
35
Passes
78% (247/315)80% (315/392)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.621.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.470.81
Total shots
98
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
66
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
915
Passes
78% (247/315)80% (315/392)
Long passes
44% (27/61)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
64% (73/114)67% (57/85)
Crosses
18% (3/17)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.58
Throw ins
2623
Fouls
159
Tackles
82% (14/17)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4448
Clearances
1630
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.810.47
Goals prevented
-0.19-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Ousmane Pato (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Al Juhani F. , Al Mayad A. ,
  • 61', Ahoudo G. , Al Haribi A. ,
  • 61', Al Zaqan A. , Ciss A. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Udo S. ,
  • 74', Faqihi S. , Abed A. ,
  • 74', Al Barakah I. , Al Malki M. ,
  • 81', Al Sunaytan I. 🟨,
  • 85', Pain C. , Moya J. ,
  • 85', Sharahili R. , Al Akouz S. S. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
32.1%
Draw
27.3%
Al-Bukayriyah
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 27.1% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26.2% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.42)
    3.34
    (3.33)
    2.25
    (2.54)
    9.6%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al-Bukayriyah will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Recent form of Al-Arabi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Al-Bukayriyah has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Bukayriyah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah were as follows:
    24.12.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 1:0
    10.04.2025 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah 0:2
    27.11.2024 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 0:1
    28.05.2024 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah 2:1
    10.01.2024 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    13.04.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Anwar 2:1
    08.04.2026 Al-Taee - Al-Bukayriyah 2:0
    03.04.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Abha 1:2
    07.03.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Adalh 1:0
    01.03.2026 Al Jubail - Al-Bukayriyah 2:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha ✔ 32245363:293477
    2Al Diriyah32216574:334169
    3Al-Faisaly321910370:323867
    4Al-Ula32198566:313565
    5Al Orubah ✔ 32185949:371259
    6Al Jabalain32158954:381653
    7Al Raed321391057:431448
    8Al Zulfi3211111042:39344
    9Al Taee321281246:46044
    10Al Bukiryah321271334:43-943
    11Al Wehda321171450:56-640
    12Al Anwar329111248:49-138
    13Jeddah328121232:46-1436
    14Al Jandal32781730:56-2629
    15Al Adalah32691741:70-2927
    16Al Arabi32562122:60-3821
    17Al Batin ✔ 32472135:64-2919
    18Al Jubail ✔ 32352428:69-4114

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
    Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Al Batin is Relegated to
    Al Jubail is Relegated to