Ilves vs Red Bull Salzburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Round 3
  • Referee: Vikman K. (Fin)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.21
Shots on Goal
2021
Shooting PCT
10% (2/20)4.76% (1/21)
Blocked Shots
158
Goalkeeper Saves
2018
Saves PCT
95.24% (20/21)90% (18/20)
Penalties
55
PIM
1010
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (5/5)
Hits
24
Faceoffs Won
3816
Faceoffs %
70.3729.63
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 00:37, Corcoran C. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 06:01, Teuho-Markkola T. (2 min),
  • 08:43, 1 - 0, Henman L. (G), Teuho-Markkola T. (A),
  • 15:23, 1 - 1, Stephens D. (G), Eliseev M. (A), Auer L. C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:37, 2 - 1, Ratinen S. (G), Looke J. (A), Pelli A. (A2)
  • 09:37, Mantykivi M. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Kucerik R. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Pelli A. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Looke J. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Raffl T. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Lewington T. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Stephens D. (2 min),
  • 09:37, Auer L. C. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Ilves
59.3%
Draw
18.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 18.2% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 18.3% 17.7%

Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.58
(1.45)
4.98
(5.11)
4.23
(5.29)
6.9%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Red Bull Salzburg will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Red Bull Salzburg: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Red Bull Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ilves has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Red Bull Salzburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ilves is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
    11.09.2022 Ilves - Red Bull Salzburg 1:2
    03.09.2022 Red Bull Salzburg - Ilves 2:3
    Latest results of Ilves
    30.08.2025 Belfast Giants - Ilves 4:7
    28.08.2025 ERC Ingolstadt - Ilves 1:3
    22.08.2025 Ilves - TPS 3:2
    15.08.2025 KalPa - Ilves 5:4
    09.08.2025 HIFK - Ilves 3:2
    Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves (1)Bremerhaven (16)5 : 2, 3 : 2
    2Kometa Brno (8)Lulea (9)5 : 3, 1 : 6
    3Sparta Prague (4)Zug (13)3 : 2, 0 : 6
    4Lukko (5)Storhamar (12)5 : 2, 3 : 2
    5ERC Ingolstadt (6)Salzburg (11)3 : 4, 6 : 2
    6Frolunda (3)Grenoble (14)1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7Bern (7)Brynas (10)3 : 5, 2 : 1
    8KalPa (2)Zurich (15)4 : 2, 4 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilves (1)Lulea (9)
    2Zug (13)Lukko (5)
    3ERC Ingolstadt (6)Frolunda (3)
    4Brynas (10)KalPa (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2