Lorient vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.89
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
89% (566/638)80% (232/290)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.89
xG on target (xGOT)
2.550.56
Total shots
229
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
4117
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
810
Passes
89% (566/638)80% (232/290)
Long passes
57% (24/42)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
75% (130/174)68% (60/88)
Crosses
26% (6/23)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.49
Throw-ins
2513
Fouls
108
Tackles
85% (11/13)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3939
Clearances
834
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.562.55
Goals prevented
0.56-1.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', Gaucho Debohi D. , Verhaeghe R. ,
  • 12', Laporte J. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Bamba M. , Ponceau J. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. , Ponceau J. (A),
  • 44', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Brahimi B. , Najim I. ,
  • 65', Kalulu G. , Igor Silva ,
  • 66', Lebreton N. , Tome G. ,
  • 73', Bamba M. , Soumano S. ,
  • 73', Kroupi E. J. , Tosin A. ,
  • 77', Lecoeuche Q. , Gaudin J. ,
  • 77', Grandsir S. , Coulibaly K. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Soumano S. ,
  • 86', Mvuka Mugisha J. , Diarra S. ,
  • 86', Abergel L. , Makengo J. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Soumano S. , Tosin A. (A),

Chances of winning


Lorient
77.5%
Draw
15%
Caen
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73% 16.9% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Lorient - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.28)
    6.3
    (5.55)
    12.63
    (9.22)
    5.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Lorient - Caen?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Caen will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 72.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Lorient (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Lorient (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorient will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 3.
    • Lorient in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lorient is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Diarra S. (Injury) Katseris P. (Inactive) Mendy F. (Illness) Pagis P. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Caen: Le Bihan M. (Red Card) Lecoeuche Q. (Inactive) Ntim E. (Inactive) Thomas R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Lorient won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Caen were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Caen - Lorient 1:2
    Latest results of Lorient
    21.04.2025 Annecy - Lorient 0:0
    12.04.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:2
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    29.03.2025 Grenoble - Lorient 1:2
    15.03.2025 Lorient - Bastia 4:0
    Latest results of Caen
    18.04.2025 Caen - Martigues 0:3
    11.04.2025 Rodez - Caen 2:2
    05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2
    31.03.2025 Paris FC - Caen 4:2
    14.03.2025 Amiens - Caen 2:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes ✔ 33207660:322867
    2Le Mans331514448:311759
    3St Etienne331761054:381657
    4Red Star33169844:36857
    5Rodez331413643:38555
    6Reims331314648:321653
    7Annecy331571148:371152
    8Montpellier331481140:301050
    9Pau FC331291245:57-1245
    10Dunkerque3311101251:42943
    11Guingamp3310101342:48-640
    12Grenoble337151132:39-736
    13Boulogne33991533:47-1436
    14Clermont338101537:44-734
    15Nancy338101532:50-1834
    16Laval335141428:47-1929
    17Bastia335131523:37-1428
    18Amiens ✔ 33662137:60-2324

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
    Amiens is Relegated to National