Amiens vs Caen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.64
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
911
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
Free Kicks
2013
Offsides
41
Fouls
1320
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1526
Touches in the Opposition Box
1817
Passes
83% (288/345)82% (328/399)
Passes in the final third
71% (54/76)66% (83/125)
Crosses
14% (2/14)24% (4/17)
Tackles
67% (8/12)45% (10/22)
Clearances Total
3322
Interceptions
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Monconduit T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Thomas R. , Traore B. ,
  • 53', Jaouab M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Leautey A. , Mafouta L. (A),
  • 65', Benrahou Y. , Brahimi B. ,
  • 66', Grandsir S. , Ba Loua A. ,
  • 73', 2 - 0, Kandil N. , Kaiboue K. (A),
  • 75', Kyeremeh G. , Coulibaly K. ,
  • 75', Sy L. , Henry V. ,
  • 82', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
  • 83', Monconduit T. , Fofana I. ,
  • 86', Kandil N. , Mbaye M. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Coulibaly K. ,
  • 90+4', Leautey A. , Rafii Y. ,
  • 90+4', Corchia S. , Bakayoko S. ,
  • 90+6', Vita R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Amiens
31.1%
Draw
29.5%
Caen
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 29.4% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 29.1% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Amiens - Caen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.9)
    3.19
    (3.19)
    2.38
    (2.45)
    6.2%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Amiens - Caen?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Caen will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 16.4%61.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 0.
    • Amiens has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Caen will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Caen: Benrahou Y. (Injury) Gaucho Debohi D. (Yellow Cards) Grandsir S. (Injury) M'Vila Y. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Amiens won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:16 (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Caen were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Caen - Amiens 2:1
    10.02.2024 Caen - Amiens 2:0
    19.12.2023 Amiens - Caen 0:0
    20.05.2023 Amiens - Caen 1:3
    10.09.2022 Caen - Amiens 3:1
    Latest results of Amiens
    07.03.2025 Red Star - Amiens 2:0
    01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2
    21.02.2025 Rodez - Amiens 1:1
    14.02.2025 Amiens - Grenoble 1:4
    08.02.2025 Lorient - Amiens 3:1
    Latest results of Caen
    07.03.2025 Caen - Laval 0:1
    28.02.2025 Clermont - Caen 0:1
    22.02.2025 Caen - Pau 2:2
    17.02.2025 Annecy - Caen 1:0
    10.02.2025 Caen - Dunkerque 0:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes ✔ 33207660:322867
    2Le Mans331514448:311759
    3St Etienne331761054:381657
    4Red Star33169844:36857
    5Rodez331413643:38555
    6Reims331314648:321653
    7Annecy331571148:371152
    8Montpellier331481140:301050
    9Pau FC331291245:57-1245
    10Dunkerque3311101251:42943
    11Guingamp3310101342:48-640
    12Grenoble337151132:39-736
    13Boulogne33991533:47-1436
    14Clermont338101537:44-734
    15Nancy338101532:50-1834
    16Laval335141428:47-1929
    17Bastia335131523:37-1428
    18Amiens ✔ 33662137:60-2324

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
    Amiens is Relegated to National